Podcast

Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Week 5 Top 10 Quarterbacks


1. Peyton Manning IND @ Titans (giving up 282.2 YPG/Air) The best QB in the league against the worst defense against the pass means a huge day for Manning and his fantasy owners.

2. Ben Roethlisberger PIT @ Lions (giving up 240.2 YPG/Air)  Expect big things out of Big Ben this weeks against one of the worst teams in the NFL.

3. Matt Schaub HOU @ Cardinals (giving up 280.3 YPG/Air)  Anytime you have Andre Johnson as your main target and your facing a defense that hasn't shown any signs of stopping the pass you know your in for a big week.

4. Joe Flacco BAL vs. Bengals (giving up 242.2 YPG/Air)  Flacco has been very solid all year and is facing the Bengals who have had a tough time of shutting down the opposing QB, think big.

5. Donovan McNabb vs. Buccaneers (giving up 221.8 YPG/Air)  Yes McNabb is coming off of an injury but he is also playing the Buccaneers, DeSean Jackson should have a big day.

6. Tom Brady @ Broncos (giving up 162.5 YPG/Air)  Okay the Broncos do have the third rated pass defense in the league, but Brady might have too many weapons.  Welker is now healthy, and Moss can beat just about any corner in the league on any given day.  Brady might be the QB to hand the Broncos their first loss.

7. Brett Favre MIN vs. Rams (giving up 224.5 YPG/Air)  Favre hadn't really impressed fantasy owners until his Monday night performance against the Packers.  He has three very good WR's with Berrian, Rice, and Harvin.  He also has the ShawShiancoe Redemption as a sure handed tight end.  We see Favre having a very nice day against the lowly Rams. 5-0? YES!

8. Tony Romo DAL @ Chiefs (giving up 250.5 YPG/Air)  Romo should have a very nice day in Kansas City.  He has shown signs of the Romo of old this season, and KC is a team he should explode offensively against.  Roy Williams is a very solid start at wide-out as well.

9. Matt Ryan @ 49ers (giving up 210.2 YPG/Air)  If Roddy White can't get things going while facing Nate Clements, we know Tony Gonzalez will step up his game.  Gonzalez creates a mismatch against nearly every linebacker in the league, and we don't see things changing this week.

10. Kurt Warner vs. Texans (giving up 203.8 YPG/Air)  Before last weeks bye, Warner had a brutal showing on national television, but anytime you have Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, and Steve Breaston as targets, you have the potential to break out at any moment.  We see Warner exploding this week. 

Other notable QB matchups- Eli Manning vs. Raiders, Carson Palmer @ Ravens, and Matt Cassel vs. Cowboys

Byes: Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Jay Cutler, & Philip Rivers

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Trade Steve Smith?


Through three games, Steve Smith has 15 receptions for 190 yards and the key piece 0, zip, no touchdowns. He is on an 0-3 Panthers team who can’t seem to get the running game back to last years form, and Delhomme hasn’t made good decisions. Until the running game gets back to form, or Mushin Muhammed or Dwayne Jarrett (tore college apart) learn how to get open and make plays.  Look for Steve Smith’s numbers to stay down, because teams will continue to double team him and force Delhomme (ranked 32nd among active QB’s stat wise), to make plays.  This season Delhomme hasn’t been able to make plays. We would hang on to Smith to see how he does week five (they have a bye this week), if things in Carolina don’t seem like they are improving try trading him for as much talent as possible.  It is hard to do good being double covered, especially when it is every play of the game.  If no progress is made during week 5 trade him before other owners realize how much he is struggling this season.

 

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J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets.


The New York Jets are off to a great start this season.  A lot of things have changed since last season.  Defensive guru Rex Ryan is in his first season as head coach in the NFL. After losing future hall of famer Brett Favre in the offseason, the Jets took Mark Sanchez out of USC in the first round.  Sanchez has made big plays at times and has thrown for 606 yards and 4 touchdowns through 3 games.  Not outstanding stats, but Sanchez has done a great job of managing the game for the Jets who are now 3-0. Coach Ryan (defensive coordinator at Baltimore last year) watched Joe Flacco go through ups and downs last season.  It seemed like from day one, the Jets were going to start Sanchez, even though there was a so-called position battle at QB.  Sanchez doesn’t need to go out and be Peyton Manning in order for the Jets to win ball games.  The Jets have been tremendous on the defensive side of the ball this season. Rex Ryan has brought a flair into the Jets locker room, something that seemed to me missing last season.

 

The D is allowing only 11.0 points per game (2nd best in league), 256.0 yards of total offense per game (3rd best in league) and only 82.7 yards a game (9th best in league).  They have brought heat to the quarterback this season. Using a variety of blitzing schemes against the Texans, Patriots, and Titans has been very successful thus far. The defense has been led by impressive play from the gritty LB Bart Scott and shut down CB Darrelle Revis. The Jets seem to have regained popularity in New York and Mark Sanchez is looking like could be the next coming of Joe Namath. At some point this season, the Jets are going to rely on Sanchez making big plays in order for the team to win.  It will be interesting to see how the rest of this season goes.  Last year the Jets started the season strong, going 8-3 in the first eleven games.  They ended up missing the playoffs going 1-4 in their last five games. Rex Ryan has talked smack all season, and the Jets have been backing it up.  We see the Jets making the playoffs, and being a team capable of making it to the Super Bowl, as long as the team doesn’t lose their spark once they lose a game.

 

As far as a fantasy perspective we like the Defense but this weekend they have a very explosive opposing offense.  The Jets have showed they can shut down top offenses this season so, start them at your own risk against the Saints this weekend.  Drew Brees looks like he is out there playing a video game, throwing for ridiculous stats nearly every game.   We also like Thomas Jones even after the rough day he had on Sunday. The Saints are only allowing 67 yards rushing a game, which is 5th best in the NFL.  Play Jones this week at your own risk.  Someone has to take pressure off of Sanchez, so he will get plenty of chances to make plays.  The game is in The Big easy so the Jets need to bring their A game in order to come out with W.  Our prediction, Jets win by three.

 

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Cedric Benson, a Beast this weekend?


Cedric Benson is starting develop into the player that the Chicago Bears thought they were getting after selecting him with the 4th overall pick in the 2005 draft.  After having a very disappointing career in the windy city, Cedric Benson is starting to blossom with the Cincinnati Bengals.  Benson is a must-start in all fantasy formats this weekend.  The Browns have looked like one of the worst teams in the NFL this season.  Are the Browns the 09-10 version of last years Lions?  We won’t start making bold predictions about the Browns going 0-16, but you get the point, they are awful. The Browns are allowing 184.3 yards a game rushing, which is ranked 30th in the league. Benson has rushed for 293 yards this season, which is good for 97.7 yards per game.  He will get plenty of touches this week, and could be a top fantasy performer, if you are lucky enough to have him, start him.

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Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Cowboys In A World Of Hurt?


The Dallas Cowboys  could be in a world of hurt.  Marian Barber missed Monday night's game; to make matters worse Felix Jones suffered a knee injury during the Cowboys' Monday night win against the Panthers. Both Barber and Jones can be very productive fantasy backs.  We think Barber has a 75% chance of playing in Sunday's game against the Denver Broncos.  Felix Jones on the other hand, could see an extended period of time on the sidelines.  Cowboys' owner, Jerry Jones is very concerned about the severity of Jones' knee injury.  It is uncertain right now ow long Felix Jones will be out for, but Jerry thinks Felix will need an MRI.  The injury was initially labeled as a knee strain, but it is likely the injury is more severe.  Ignore Felix during week 4, and continue to track the progress of Marian Barber.  If Tashard Choice receives a fair amount of touches he could have a good week.  Don't rely on him though, the Denver Broncos' are only allowing 78.3 yards per game on the ground, and are second in the league in total yards given up.  These defensive stats may be a little tainted considering the fairly "weak" schedule the Broncos' have had thus far.  Regardless of the schedule we feel the Broncos' will shut down Dallas' running game.  Marian Barber is the only Dallas RB that should be considered week 4, but only if he is guaranteed healthy on Sunday.

Digging Deep - Who is Sims-Walker?


Mike Sims-Walker may have become David Garrard’s go to guy, while making multiple clutch catches in their victory Sunday. He currently has 12 receptions for 187 yards and 1 touchdown, and is averaging 15.6 yards a catch. With the 2009-2010 season being only Sims-Walker’s second year playing in the NFL, we feel his stats could improve every game.  MSW is listed as the number two receiver on the depth chart right now. Although the Jags are a run first team with Maurice Jones-Drew (AKA the Freight Train) in the backfield, Sims-Walker will start catching people’s attention, and might even become worthy of being a starting WR in deeper fantasy leagues. He available in 93% of fantasy leagues on ESPN. Scoop him up fast, by season’s end he could very well be owned in the most fantasy leagues. The Jaguars face the Titans (allowing 274.4 yards passing a game) week four. If Sims-Walker has another good game, this might be the last week you have to pick him up. Missing out on Sims-Walker could end up like being left out in the cold, and who wants to be cold?

Digging Deep - Start Glen Coffee?


Frank Gore is out for three weeks with a right ankle strain, which is a huge loss for run heavy 49ers and many fantasy owners. San Francisco is averaging 26.7 rushes per game, which means Glen Coffee will be getting plenty of touches.  Coffee is a very underrated running back and showed some upside against the Vikings week 3.  The 49ers play the Rams on Sunday.  The Rams are allowing 148 yards per game rushing, which ranks sixth worse in the league.  Coffee is available in 70% of ESPN leagues (pick him up ASAP).  If you lost Frank Gore or just are looking for a spark in your fantasy lineup take a shot on Coffee.  We think he will have a good weekend and will be the focal point in San Fran’s offense.